If you were hoping for warmer weather this summer, you’re probably in luck.
Environment Canada’s latest update includes above-average temperatures for the remainder of the season, as well as early fall as well.
But if you’re wondering exactly how hot it will be — or what the rest of the year will look like — that prediction is less clear.
Environment Canada meteorologist Bobby Sekhon says the signal for the next few weeks shows “above average” temperatures for Metro Vancouver, which includes the first month of dip (September).
However, an above-average temperature signal does not specify the nuances of a seasonal forecast. Although it shows a warmer-than-usual overall trend, it does not include significant weather events, such as heat warnings.
“And that signal tends to weaken as we go into October,” Sekhon said. Vancouver is awesome in a telephone interview. “[But] next month or month and a half includes the likelihood of above average temperatures.”
Starting next week, another ridge of high pressure could bring warm temperatures back to the region, although the meteorologist notes that it’s not possible to say how temperatures will be “well above the mean”. In other words, Environment Canada will only issue a heat warning closer to the date when the signal is clearer.
Does La Nińa impact Metro Vancouver weather forecasts in the summer and early fall?
La Niña, Spanish for “girl,” refers to the “appearance of cooler-than-normal water” in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, according to the Canadian government; it is the opposite of an El Niño weather event.
While the weather phenomenon has been occurring for centuries, the WHO points out that “all natural climatic events now occur in the context of human-induced climate change, which is increasing global temperatures, exacerbating extreme weather and climate , and impacts seasonal precipitation and temperature patterns.”
But the weather phenomena are currently not having much of an impact on the weather in Metro Vancouver.
“The Nińa doesn’t have too much of a factor until later in the fall or early winter,” says Sekhon. “So I don’t think we can necessarily bring it into La Nińa at this point.
“What we are seeing are warmer sea surface temperatures off the coast of British Columbia. With that influence of warmer water, it could sometimes mean that we have warmer weather here as well. since we have such a coastal influence from the ocean.
Sekhon notes, however, that signals predict another La Nińa winter in British Columbia this year. That said, he warns that the forecast could change ahead of the winter season as there are still several months to go.
If the La Nińa forecast is correct, Metro Vancouver will generally have below average temperatures for the season. Find out why the Nińa forecast is called a “triple dip” and if it will cause serious local impacts.