GAME DAY: Calgary Stampeders vs. Ottawa Redblacks

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THE SOFTNESS OF HOME: It remains surprising the lack of success of the Rougenoirs in their stadium. They’ve lost their last six games at TD Place and are a stinking 2-17 at home from 2019-22. Of course, that was then and this is now. The Rouge et Noir have played pretty well at home in three home losses in 2022 – 19-12 against Winnipeg, 34-31 against British Columbia and 40-33 against Montreal. And now that they have the No. 1 victory of the season in their pocket, they hope to beat Calgary, which is not an easy task. The Rouge et Noir have beaten the Stamps only once (with two draws) since 2016. Overall, they are 2-9-2 against Calgary.

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START STRONG: The Rouge et Noir have led after the first quarter of each of their last three games – by a combined score of 24-4. BC was the last opponent to score a touchdown in the first quarter – on June 30. For the season, they are plus-16 in the first quarter, but minus-49 in the second quarter. In their last four games, they have been outscored 64-16 in the second quarter. On the other side, the Stampeders were outscored 94-66 (minus-28) in the first half, but are excellent closer, with a 123-53 (plus-70) advantage after halftime. .

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THE JAELON FACTOR: Rougenoir receiver Jaelon Acklin leads the CFL in receiving yards with 687 and averages per game at 98.1. He’s on a three-game streak for 100+ yards. Last time a CFL player had three in a row was Hamilton’s Bralon Addison in September 2019. Last player with four or more in a row was Duke Williams – June-July 2018 (five in a row) .

THE KICK CONTEST: Rene Paredes of Calgary edged closer to Lewis Ward of Ottawa in the all-time standings for shots scored. Paredes is a career-high 95.5% on 21 of 22 tries this season, taking him to 87.6% for his career. Ward, 19 of 23 in 2022, still leads with 88.8%.

CALEB’S SLING: Redblacks QB Caleb Evans had a career-high 25 assists two weeks ago and has completed 49 of 69 assists in his last two games. He also doesn’t make mistakes; he has a current streak of 90 passes without an interception.

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Ottawa DE Lorenzo Mauldin IV vs Calgary QB Bo Levi Mitchell

Mauldin, a defensive end in his first season with the Rouge et Noir, has six of seven sacks in the last four games. While Mitchell may not be the MVP contender he has been for so many seasons and may not have the same touch he once had on the long ball, he is still good. In six games, he amassed 1,518 passing yards with seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Despite going 4-2 in 2022, his career winning percentage (.781) remains the best in CFL history. Mitchell is 8-2-2 in his career against Ottawa with a remarkable TD/INT ratio of 19-5.

There were seven changes to the lead in Calgary’s 35-28 loss to Winnipeg on Saturday. How often does this happen? How about just 23 of the CFL’s 5,822 games since 1907 — that’s once every 253 games… In Calgary’s six games, only one team has held home-court advantage (Hamilton, Week 2). The Stamps lead the CFL with an average starting spot from their own 40-yard line. Ottawa ranks eighth, with starts averaging their own 33… The Rougenoirs blanked the Argos in the 2nd half of a 23-13 victory on Sunday, forcing two turnovers and three punts in five Argos possessions… The RB Ottawa’s William Powell is only 69 rushing 5,000 meters away for his career. He would be the 43rd player to reach 5,000… The Stampeders rank 2nd in the CFL, allowing just seven sacks. Ottawa is No. 4 with 16.

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OUR TAKE: Rougenoirs 27, Stampeders 17

Wow! I say. I don’t just take the Redblacks to cover the spread, I take them to win – by a whopping 10. Crazy? Maybe. But circumstances force Ottawa to face a team that lacks many key elements, including running back Ka’Deem Carey, DB Tre Roberson and center Sean McEwen. It’s not even a certainty that their head coach – Dave Dickenson (COVID protocol) – will be there for the game.

PACK STATS:

Points for 21.7 (6)

Points against 25.4 (6)

Passing yards 282 (4)

Ruling yards 94 (4)

Net offense 357 (3)

Net offense against 381 (9)

Calgary

Points for 31.5 (2)

Points against 24.5 (4)

Passing yards 267 (6)

Ruling yards 116 (2)

Net offense 375 (2)

Net offense against 356 (6)

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